2018 NBA Dynasty Rookie Rankings

Tier (#)Dynasty Update – 04/03/19
1 (1)
Luka Doncic, Mavericks – Career Projection: Superstar/Hall of Famer
Luka is #1 and it’s not even close right now. He’s playing at a level that even his biggest supporters couldn’t have imagined, not to mention proving the haters (like yours truly) wrong. Luka looks the part of a generational talent, both in real life and in fantasy. He’s not the most efficient scorer yet but he fills up the stat sheet and his percentages should rise over the course of his career. He’ll be a perennial top 15 fantasy stud, with a chance to reach top 5 status.
2 (2)Trae Young, Hawks – Career Projection: Superstar/Hall of Famer
Trae is playing out of his mind and is making a push for Tier 1 status. His usage rate and ability to stuff the stat sheet give him top 15 potential and he’ll be one of the most fun players to own in any format.
2 (3)Jaren Jackson Jr, Grizzlies – Career Projection: Superstar/Hall of Famer
Right now it’s a toss up between JJJ and Ayton. Both are elite talents. JJJ has a chance to be one of the elite defenders in the league and could be one of the few players who can average a triple 1.5 (3’s, blocks and steals). Once he learns to stay out of foul trouble he could skyrocket into the fantasy top 20.
2 (4)DeAndre Ayton, Suns – Career Projection: Superstar/Hall of Famer
Ayton is a fantasy monster and is an elite building block for any dynasty team. While he doesn’t give you great Stocks, he’s got a complete offensive package and gives you elite percentages to go along with big rebounding numbers. If he develops his defensive instincts his fantasy upside is unlimited.
2 (5)Marvin Bagley III, Kings – Career Projection: All-Star/Potential Hall of Famer
Bagley is trending up in a big way and has moved into tier 2. He’s in a perfect situation in SacTown and should see an increased workload over the second half of the season. The sky’s the limit for how could he can be.
3 (6)Mitchell Robinson, Knicks – Career Projection: Starter/Possible All-Star/Category Winner
He’s a category winner plain and simple. And he gives you great FG% to go along with those great blocks. If things keep trending in this direction he’ll be an elite fantasy asset.
3 (7)Wendall Carter Jr, Bulls – Career Projection: Star/All-Star/Potential Hall of Famer
WCJ has looked NBA ready from the opening tip of Summer League. He’s a player who gives you well rounded stats on both ends of the floor, blocking shots and getting steals, rebounding, hitting 3-pointers and he should have decent assist numbers for a center. While he doesn’t have the elite upside of Ayton or JJJ, he’s a great foundational piece to a dynasty team.
4 (8)Kevin Huerter, Hawks – Career Projection: Star/All-Star
This might seem high for Huerter but he’s a high-volume 3pt bomber who has the potential to be not just good but elite in multiple categories including 3pt shooting, guard rebounding, steals and assists while having solid percentages across the line. His 3pt shooting alone could make him a top 75 fantasy stud and his upside is Klay-like. Could move up to Tier 3.
4 (9)Collin Sexton, Cavs – Career Projection: Starter/Possible All-Star
Sexton has put up decent numbers in the first half of his rookie season and looks like a player who will have an impact in the league. He’s benefited from having a good usage rate and plenty of chances to make mistakes for the lowly Cavs but as the team gets better his
4 (10)Kevin Knox, Knicks – Career Projection: Star/All-Star/Potential Hall of Famer
Knox balled out in Summer League showing off his half court scoring ability and lethal transition offense. He’s a high upside player, one of the youngest players in the NBA, who should get a decent amount of run over the second half of his rookie season.
4 (11)Mikal Bridges, Suns – Career Projection: Possible All-Star/Fantasy Monster
Mikal is a good player in real life but could be a truly elite fantasy player with defensive numbers, 3 and percentages that are off the charts. He could move up this list as he gains consistency and production.
4 (12)Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Clippers – Career Projection: Possible All-Star
Shai has slowed down a bit in his production but remains an intriguing dynasty asset. As a ball-dominant player he’s got the chance to rack up stats and his defensive contributions give him added value.
4 (13)Mo Bamba, Magic – Career Projection: Possible All-Star/Boom or Bust
Bamba is off to a slow start in his NBA career and it has raised a few concerns. If you’ve got a rebuilding team he could be worth the wait but there’s also some bust potential. His poor play and now his injury has him sliding down this list.
5 (14)Landry Shamet, Clippers – Career Projection: Starter/Possible All-Star, Three Point Sniper
Sham-wet is already looking like one of the better 3pt shooters in the league and has just started to display some of his other talents. He doesn’t get you defensive stats but the elite 3’s and good percentages make him very interesting.
5 (15)Miles Bridges, Hornets – Career Projection: Possible All-Star
Mikal or Miles? This one’s tough. It may be that Miles is the more impactful NBA player but Mikal has the more juicy fantasy numbers. With Miles you get an elite role player at the very least with some potential for a big break-out, leading to a top 50 fantasy ranking.
5 (16)Zhaire Smith, 76ers – Career Projection: Possible All-Star/Fantasy Monster
Zhaire is enduring the Sixers version of the Philly Special: sitting out his rookie season. It’s an unfortunate start to his career but the talent he displayed at Tech and the flashes he showed in Summer League are more than enough to warrant this ranking. Patience will be rewarded.
5 (17)Allonzo Trier, Knicks – Career Projection: Starter/Possible All-Star/Boom or Bust
Trier is an iso monster who can get buckets on anyone and has been very efficient early in his career. But he’ll need to grow as a playmaker and learn to operate within the flow of the offense. He’s getting an extended look on the hapless Knicks and has a chance to establish himself as a key part of the Knicks future.
5 (18)Michael Porter Jr., Nuggets – Career Projection: Possible All-Star/Boom or Bust
MPJ is the wildcard of this group. He could blossom into a perennial All Star or fade into obscurity if the injury bug keeps biting him.
5 (19)Rodions Kurucs, Nets – Career Projection: Starter/Possible All-Star
Kurucs has been a revelation for the Nets, emerging as one of their most promising young prospects. He’s got a smooth overall game and some guard skills in a solid 6-9 NBA frame.
6 (20)Jalen Brunson, Mavericks – Career Projection: Starter/Rock Solid
Brunson isn’t a flashy player but he plays like a 10 year vet and it’ll be hard to keep him off the floor. He should have a long, steady career with mid-round fantasy value.
6 (21)Lonnie Walker, Spurs – Career Projection: Starter/Possible All-Star/Boom or Bust
He’s been slept on since high school, what’s another few months? Lonnie has All the talent and is in a system that should bring the best out of him. If he stays healthy he could develop into a true no.1 scoring option and human highlight reel.
6 (22)Grayson Allen, Jazz – Career Projection: Starter/Possible All-Star/Boom or Bust
This could be too low for Allen, especially if he develops as a primary ball-handler. His three point shot looks legit, he can score going to the basket and he certainly brings the intensity.
7 (23)Anfernee Simons, Trailblazers- Career Projection: Possible Starter/Boom or Bust
We haven’t seen much from Simons yet so this is purely a projection, but he’s got a silky smooth jumper and a scorers mentality, which could translate well to fantasy (and real world) production.
7 (24)Donte DiVincenzo, Bucks – Career Projection: Scorer off the bench/possible starter
A floor spacer/off the bench scorer who looks like a solid role player.
8 (25)Josh Okogie, Timberwolves – Career Projection: Starter/Boom or Bust
Okogie is a big time athlete and is becoming a great defender but for fantasy purposes his offensive limitations drag down his value. If he develops his three point shot he’ll be valuable fantasy player.
8(26)Chandler Hutchinson, Bulls – Career Projection: Starter/Swiss Army Knife
Before his recent injury Hutch was starting to emerge. He’s got the size and athleticism to hold his own in the league and he plays with effort. He’s a role player, not a star, but if he can hit some 3’s and improve from the FT line he’ll be a solid fantasy option.
8 (27)Moritz Wagner, Lakers- Career Projection: Possible Starter/Stretch Big
If Wanger was on a lottery-bound team and playing more minutes he might be ranked in the top 20 on this list. It could be a few years before he gets his chance but the wait could be worth it.
8(28)Gary Trent Jr., Blazers- Career Projection: Possible Starter/Bench Scorer
Has had some big moments in the G League and is a bona-fide shooter. Once he gets NBA minutes the numbers will come.
8 (29)Aaron Holiday, Pacers- Career Projection: Possible Starter/Bench Scorer
The VO injury could give him more run and a chance to prove his worth. He’s got a scorer’s mentality and could surprise to the upside.
8(30)Isaac Bonga, Lakers- Career Projection: Possible Starter/Boom or Bust
Another projection. Bonga has boom or bust potential but the upside scenario could warrant this ranking. At this point in the rankings it’s about patience and long-term potential.
8 (31)Omari Spellman, Hawks- Career Projection: Possible Starter/Role Player
Spellman has some upside as a shot-maker and multi-category contributor. It remains to be seen if he can earn starter minutes, or enough minutes to impact a fantasy team.